Playing the Numbers Game
Sunday, June 1st, 2008
On May 29, 2008, Brian Zimmerman wrote in the Pal-Item that the school board voted to forgo the $2,000 annual stipend they get paid for being on the board if the school fails to meet 3 key benchmarks:
Six of seven board members agreed to be paid only if Richmond High School’s graduation rate in 2009 is at least 71 percent and if 81 percent of students pass the reading and math portions of Indiana’s standardized test this fall. Richmond Community Schools’ Board Secretary Rick Ahaus, whose term ends in July, was not present to vote.
Board member still get their $112 per meeting, and still get health, dental and vision insurance via the school system, but the bet has been made.
So now that there is money on the table, let’s look at these numbers. Mr. Zimmerman reported that the official graduation rate in 2007 was 60%. Remember, Indiana altered its accounting for graduation starting with the 2005-2006 school year, causing Richmond to post some really poor numbers, including 60% in 2007 (or 57.6% according to the state, link) and 52.8% in 2006.
Now, at least on the graduation rate, the board likely feels pretty confident on their bet: On April 11, 2008, Mr. Zimmerman reported that school superintendent Allen Bourff told the board that the administration was predicting that 300 out of 348 seniors might graduate this year - this would be an 86% graduation rate:
“We do expect to improve on 60 percent,” Superintendent Allen Bourff said Thursday night. “I can’t say that we would be at 86 percent. That’s going up 26 percentage points. But we would be thrilled if we could see that.” RHS hasn’t seen consecutive increases in graduation rates in recent years.
But this is all a numbers game, with those at the top of the school system pressing hard to end the negative press they get with an almost 50% “failure” rate, and the administration scrambling to work the numbers to get the heat off.
The fight over the numbers obscures the real issues with local education, and that is the actual result - things that do not look good in press reports, like below 50% literacy rates in town - literacy rates - not high school graduation rates. When these numbers make it to the paper, the folks in the economic development arena complain to the paper and the school about scaring away new businesses from the town due to the quality of the workforce . . . Not pleasant things.
But the question I have with all these numbers is this: In the 2002-2003 school year, Richmond High School had 467 freshman enrolled. The school reported in April 2008, that it had 348 seniors in the class of 2008 - These are the same students, so what happened to the 119 students between 9th and 12th grade?
The administration will say, “Hey, people move away.” But people also move into town. I can understand some loss to to overall population losses, but a quarter of the students moved away? No.
The bulk of those 119 students are still in town, they are just not enrolled in school. You can find them working, hanging out, taking care of their kids, etc. One thing the school has learned about the new accounting system is that, if a kid tells the school they are withdrawing from school to be “home schooled,” the school does not have to count that student in their dropout figures - So you can imagine the discussions that occur when a student says they want to “drop out.”
In order to home school, the parent has to send in a form to the state - I wonder if the state has 119 home school forms from these missing students - I seriously doubt it. I also have to wonder how it is that a community with a 25% literacy rate has the resources to home school so many high school students.
Anyway, the way I see the numbers, the class of 2008 started Richmond High totaling 467 - If they do manage to graduate 300 next Sunday, that would be a 64% graduation rate. Let’s see if they make that.




